...and I've been wrong so far. I thought Conrad would walk.
Anyway, he can't get less than Radler, which tosses out the claims by Black's most amorous press supporters that he'd get two to five years.
My bet is he'll get about 10 years. If any of the charges are tossed on appeal -- and the obstruction charge might be top candidate -- then somewhere between six and ten would do it.
Now, if Harper gets a majority, I could see Black's citizenship restored early in the Tory term and His Nibs sent up here and quickly released.